Vince Carter’s Disappointing Season

by Orlando Magic
Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

Vince Carter was just named Howard the Dunk’s biggest disappointment for the Magic so far in the 2009-10 season.

No one was expecting Carter to be the same kind of player he was in his prime when he routinely averaged around 25 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists per game, but it was fair to expect Carter to be the same kind of player that he was last season when he played 36.8 minutes per game over 80 games, scored 20.8 points per game on 43.7% shooting (38.5% from downtown), grabbed 5.1 rebounds per game and dished out 4.1 assists per game.

This season, Carter is averaging career-lows in scoring (16.8 per game), shooting percentage (38.6%), assists (3.0 per game), steals (.8 per game), blocks (.4 per game) and minutes played (30.6 per game).

Carter’s PER has also fallen from 19.3 last season to a career-low of 15.9.

Carter has obviously been bothered by injuries. He sprained his ankle against the New Jersey Nets in the second game of the season (a game in which he was playing the best he has all season – 16 points on 6-of-8 shooting and four assists in 15 minutes). That injury forced him to miss four of the next five games. Carter also suffered a shoulder injury during Orlando’s loss to Washington on January 8. He missed the next three games and has played just 22 and 29 minutes in two games since he returned and has looked to be in physical pain, grasping his shoulder in each of those games.

Many claim that the Magic were asking for injury trouble when they acquired Carter because Carter is injury prone, but that simply is not true. Carter has not missed more than nine games in a season since the 2002-2003 season. Carter has already missed seven games at the halfway point this season and that is obviously not the norm for him.

One of the biggest problems Carter has had is that he has not been attacking the basket nearly enough. Carter seems content to just sit back and behind the three-point line and launch jumpers. 163 of Carter’s 505 shots have been three-point attempts. That’s 32.3% of all his shots, meaning that Carter shoots 30.7% on one-third of his shots.

Carter’s not getting to the line nearly enough fouls mostly due to the fact that he has not been driving as often. Just a season ago, Carter was drawing fouls 10.4% of the time, this year the number has dropped to 8.1%. When Carter does get fouled, he is shooting well from the line. In fact, his free throw percentage of 86.8% is the highest of his career, but his 4.5 attempts per game from the line is the lowest.

When Carter does get to the hoop, he doesn’t seem to have the same explosiveness. Obviously, the 33-year old Carter is not going to look like the Carter that won the slam dunk contest back in 2000, but Carter does not even have the explosiveness that he had last season. He’s had a lot of trouble finishing around the rim. Last year, dunks made up 3% of all of Carter’s field goals and he was nearly perfect on them (97.9%). This season, dunks make up just 2% of his field goals and he has shot just 81.8% on them.

Perhaps Carter’s age has finally caught up with him? If so, it couldn’t have come at a worse time for the Magic.

Last season, Carter was letting his teammates set him up. 41% of his field goals were assisted. This season, that percentage has fallen to 34%. Carter has been getting the ball on the perimeter and has been settling for too many tough, contested shots.

Carter has also failed to get his teammates involved. Carter has averaged 4.2 assists per game over his career and dished out 4.7 per game last season. His assist percentage is 17.6%, the lowest it has been since his rookie season. Last year, it was 23.7% and in the two seasons prior to that, it was over 25%.

To make matters worse, even with Carter’s struggles, his usage rate of 27.7% is the highest it has been since the 2006-2007 season.

If the Magic expect to be a championship level team, they need Carter to be more of a playmaker and to stop settling for difficult jumpers. This Magic will not be able to compete with the elite teams in the league without Carter playing at a high level.

Carter and the Magic have preached patience but Magic fans patience may be wearing thin.

(Andrew Melnick is Howard the Dunk’s lead blogger and a contributor at NFL Mocks Subscribe to his RSS feed and add him on Twitter to follow him daily.)

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I can see that Mike. Especially on a night like tonight if Mayo is on him.

I've been saying this to any one that cares to listen, if the Magic wan't to extract the most out of Carter, they've got to post him up. VC really is a forward more than a guard, not that he cant handle the ball. Most of his patented moves are from posting up on the wings. For whatever reason, the Magic CONSTANTLY give VC the ball at the top of the key, it makes him predictable, as he would drive right and most likely shoot a jump shot 80% of the time. Go look at VC's career and see from where he's done most of his damage. U just gotta post him up,....go back to even Nets footage from last season and see where Carter mostly operated from.

I like this article. Good job Mr. Andrew.

Carter really is a great player. And I also agree he is not injury prone and he is not selfish. But this season he has been shooting the ball way too much and I'm going to disagree with you Dan. I don't think the team should make VC their main guy. It STILL has to be Dwight. He was our main weapon last year and he should still be this year.

And as what Andrew just said, the 1-in 4-out configuration is our gameplan and I think changing the team into a conventional 2-in 3-out team would reduce the efficiency of all our guys. D12 won't have room to operate, our snipers would be well guarded. So I really disagree with people saying that Bass should start at the 4. He's a good player, but he'll just clog Dwight's space.

Now since VC has been shooting way too much and is not passing the ball, Dwight get's less shots, Rashard and the other snipers don't get unguarded. And now he's playing injured, I gotta admire his courage and determination, but he's just now efficient. He's making too many empty trips. But even when he gets better and starts playing like he used to, I still think with him being the main scorer still would make our plan and the rest of our guys ineffective.

Vince should play the Magic's system of moving the ball and getting the ball to Dwight. I think his role on this team is yes, being a go to guy and a play maker. We need him in the 4th especially during desperate situations. But making him our main guy, we need to change the entire line-up.

First off Dan, I love your confidence and do agree that both Vince and the Magic can get this turned around.

The Magic do often run plays through Vince, but you're right, they've gotten away from it a bit lately. I think one problem with Vince has been the way he runs the pick-and-roll. Every time Howard rolls, Vince looks for his shot rather than looking to make a play.

One point you are dead on with is that Carter is playing less minutes this season, but if you look at the numbers, Carter actually takes more shots per minutes than he did last season and I think he needs to pass the ball more often.

I do agree that the Magic need a playmaker and that Vince can and should be that guy.

Orlando was more than just a three-point shooting team last year. During the first half of the season, Jameer Nelson was that playmaker, which is what earned him a trip to the All-Star game.

There's a line between a 3-point shooting team and jump shooting team. 3-point shots are much more efficient than 2-point jumpers.

The Magic have these shooters because the plan is for Howard to clog up the middle by being double teamed and kick it out to an open man. And if Howard isn't double teamed, he should score.

" I honestly dont see much signs of the injury effecting him, its more mental. His confidence is down and VC has always been very unselfish and tends to play less than his potential at times, if team doesnt run plays through him he wont complain or demand it. Which is really why he never got to the next level."

I think you are correct here. Carter has gotten an undeserved rep as a selfish and injury-prone player. He's been neither throughout his career.

Thanks for reading and commenting Dan, HTD welcomes your comments and values your opinion.

While this article is quite interesting. How come nobody points out a simple fact, Magic just aren't running there offense through VC. Just look at the shot attempts over the last say five games 7-10 shots for your main scorer. Also, how about the lack of minutes. While the injury has slowed down VC and he has been taking bad shots. My question is when you're not getting the ball, aren't you more inclined to take bad shots? VC is a playmaker has been his entire career. He needs the ball lots, he will take bad shots but that gives him he option to pick and choose, either create offense for himself or someone else. You look at earlier in the season VC was avg. 18 points .425 fg cause magic ran alot of offense through him and magic were winning. Then he got injured sure it slowed him down, but if you watch someone of his makes he has perfect rotation, i think its more confidence and not enough touches.

Its quite simple, magic run a put howard in the middle and surround him with shooters offense. There too jump shooting, 3 point friendly team. That will never win you championships. But cause it worked last year they continue to use it. Thats why if you watch closely alot of plays in magic offense require carter just standing on 3 point line. Smith brought him to be a playmaker, cause this year when you play the Boston/Clev/Lakers all good defensive team, you're going to need playmakers. So they simply need to run more offense through him.

What i find intresting, when Howard isn't getting shot attempts magic started focussing on him or when Lewis claimed he suddenly started getting more shots. Now, your best scorer isnt getting plays or shots, why isn't Stan making a change? I've always said you want VC to be effective POST HIM UP, pick n rolls, and down-screens closer to the net. But no one does that. Instead Stan barely plays him, doesnt make plays for him and everyone expects all this? I dont get it just one game let him play 35+ mins lets him get 20 shots thats how he will break out. I honestly dont see much signs of the injury effecting him, its more mental. His confidence is down and VC has always been very unselfish and tends to play less than his potential at times, if team doesnt run plays through him he wont complain or demand it. Which is really why he never got to the next level. But as a coach you should motivate and make adjustments for your key guys, Stan isn't doing anything for him.

But im not worried, while they might not figure it out during the season. Once the playoffs come, the ball will be more in VC hand and he will prove everyone wrong.

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